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Personal Thoughts about Nikon as of February 17, 2005 (a
wish list)
A general
consensus amongst those interested in Nikon is that the revised
D2Hs is not being accepted very well. Everyone knew that something
was up when Nikon suddenly slashed the price of the original D2H
a couple of months ago to US $2000. It angered many people that
had bought the D2H before the price slash, but it also set off the
imagination as to what Nikon had in store.
Speculation
was rampant that an 8 MP chip upgrade was on its way and that this
would be backwards compatible to original D2H cameras for a fee.
Alas, no such luck. While the D2Hs certainly does make for a very
compelling sports or PJ camera, the mindset of many is that it’s
still only half the resolution of the Canon 1D Mk II, never mind
that many Canon shooters don’t shoot at full resolution because
large files make for slower workflow and transmission difficulty
back to the editor’s computer.
Rightly
or wrongly, consumers and professionals are consumed by the megapixel
race, a game that Canon has played brilliantly with no let up in
sight (and this is a good thing IMO). The feeling is that while
Nikon is still capable of producing great tools, they will now always
be a step or two behind their primary competitor in getting those
tools to market. If you like new products every year to upgrade
to, Canon’s your marquee, because Nikon does not appear willing
to play that game.
Nikon
seems to have a history of being mostly conservative with the occasional
brilliant flash of innovation that takes the industry by storm,
only to lose that edge and become conservative again while their
competition catches up and then surpasses them.
However,
while Nikon has disappointed many with the D2Hs, what seems to have
passed these people by is that the D2Hs is a camera targeted to
a specific group of photographers, the PJs and more specifically,
the sports PJ. It’s a fairly specialized camera even if more people
than PJs and sports PJs will eventually purchase it. The D2X is
still the more interesting camera for the majority of photographers,
but of course, not every photographer that desires it will be able
to afford it. Hence the other disappointment of no D100 replacement
and as Thom Hogan has speculated, no entry-level
SLR priced below the D70 to really seal the deal against the Digital
Rebel.
I guess
for me, I’d like to see Nikon’s next generation offerings to really
come out swinging with both arms. The Canon 1Ds Mk II is at almost
17 MP, so Nikon gains little in producing a next generation D3 camera
at the same or similar resolution; it would just be another me-too
product that won’t really impress. Nikon should go for the bullocks
and come out with a full frame 35mm format camera that offers 24
MP of resolution at 4000x6000 pixels, and it should come out by
no later than the 2006 Photokina Show.
This
camera should be loaded for bear with the ability to fire off 5
frames per second with a good buffer to cover at least a dozen RAW
files, or two-dozen JPEGs. It should also be a dual-mode camera
with an H mode to provide a 1.5X crop at half the resolution with
double the frame rate, e.g., 12 MP at 10 fps with a 24 RAW or 50
JPEG buffer.
And
Nikon should price it at US $5000 J
Beyond
this, probably for the D6 generation and assuming that a 35mm sized
chip can actually handle this, an increase in resolution to 54 MP
or 6000x9000 pixels. Now, I’m obviously no engineer and I’m under
no illusions about the kinds of design and technological challenges
this would present to Nikon. If any company has the ability to produce
such dream cameras, it’s probably Canon more than Nikon.
Of
course, I shudder to think of the computing power required to edit
the monster files from a 54 MP camera and terrabyte hard drives
will have to become the norm to handle the storage. Hmm...take one
54 MP image and start adding some Photoshop layers at 16-bits and
we're probably at the point of fitting a whopping single image per
4.7 GB DVD disc (virtual evil grin).
I’d
also like to see a more intelligent and fully featured wireless
flash system. While Nikon has received plaudits for the current
i-TTL system, I’d like to see it go beyond this for usability. Nothing
that I suggest is radical or new, it’s all been done before, or
being done right now.
Make
the wireless flash system controllable by computer, Pocket PC, and
Palm PDA. A computer controlled system would be excellent for the
studio photographer to effortlessly assign wireless flash units
which group they belong to and to dial in the exact output needed
for their lighting needs. While a simple flash set-up might only
see three or four individual flash units, a complex set-up could
see dozens of flash units. Create some software that allows the
photographer to bring up a virtual diagram of the studio layout
and where each flash unit is located based on wireless communication
between the computer, camera, and flashes.
Allow
the photographer to Ctrl-click each flash unit that should belong
to say Group 1 for key lighting. The same for Group 2 fill lighting,
Group 3 for background lighting, etc, etc. Or to simply mouse click,
hold, and then move the mouse over all the flashes that the photographer
wants to be in a particular group. A right mouse click would bring
up the control parameters for the group, which would control their
output.
Modify
the software to work in a simplified fashion, again wirelessly,
with PDAs. Creo’s Leaf digital backs already have the ability to
communicate with HP or Compaq PDAs via Bluetooth, so it’s nothing
new at all. Better yet, make the Coolwalker digital wallet a fully
featured PDA device that can control the flashes.
It
goes without saying that Nikon should revamp their lens lineup for
this digital age. While Nikon has produced some very intriguing
offerings in recent times, such as the 200-400 f4 VR and the 200
f2 VR, much of the prime lens range was designed in the glory days
of film. Get all the lenses up to digital standards and for God’s
sake, reduce the amount of plastic found in some lenses even if
the price has to go up a bit. Market your absolute quality, make
fun of the competition that make plastic lenses.
The
mass consumer market isn’t going to go for good prime lenses because
they like the convenience of zooms. Keep those lenses built to a
price point, but give the serious photographers and pros, lenses
with quality build. We’re the ones that would appreciate the extra
measure of quality that a prime can offer over a zoom and we want
those lenses to be built like brick outhouses. For example, the
highly regarded Nikkor 24mm f2.8 lens is roughly a CAN $500 lens,
but it has a fair amount of plastic in its construction. I’d be
willing to pay an extra premium of CAN $700 for an updated lens
that would get the best out of digital, with metal build and an
included lens hood that’s more than just a cheap piece of plastic
Tupperware. And be sure to make it an AF-S lens. Yah, some of the
user base will bitch and whine that it will be an aperture-less
G lens, but time moves on and while the F mount should remain, everything
possible should be done to make it a 21st Century lens
mount instead of keeping it contemporaneous with the Edsel.
Thom
Hogan had a wonderful piece of speculation about VR capable teleconverters
and I would love to see such become reality if it can work with
lenses that already have VR, and boost the current average three-stop
shutter speed benefit to five or more stops. As a standalone accessory,
it should provide the same three-stop shutter speed advantage with
non-VR lenses that the current VR lenses offer.
And
for goodness sake, where are the updated extension tubes? If Kenko
can make a few bucks selling a set of three tubes, why can’t Nikon
offer two or three tubes of its own that will finally mate fully
with current lenses and allow auto focus and metering?
Nikon
has to work on capturing the imagination of the public by reemphasizing
the fact that their origins were as an optical company. I know it
wouldn’t make for much if any profit, but a few spectacular, tour
de force statement lenses would let everyone know that Nikon never
left the hotel.
How
about a 2000mm f5.6 lens? Who cares it’s going to look like a howitzer
and cost a million dollars, it’s not about selling it as a profit
item, but as a statement that Nikon can make super lenses and that
the R&D and engineering prowess of building such lenses will
trickle down into the more conventional ones. A super zoom or two
wouldn’t hurt either and make sure that they’re hauled out and actually
used at high profile events like the Olympics, the World Cup, and
the Super Bowl. Think what Dave Black could do with an 800-1500
zoom lens J
At
the least, all lenses should be updated to AF-S standard with VR
incorporated in more than just telephoto primes and zoom lenses.
The 24-120 VR lens was a good step, but we need more to provide
users with a real advantage over the other brands, especially since
KonicaMinolta gave their users a huge IS/VR boost with the 7D camera
and most of their lens range.
The
Coolpix lineup needs a shakeup and a return to that Nikon innovation
not seen since the glory days of the Coolpix 900 series (the Coolpix
8800 and 8400 notwithstanding since they look pretty darn good).
A real shakeup of the digicam market could be something like Nikon
being the first to put an APS sized sensor in a fixed lens camera.
I know that such quality would be wasted on the mass consumer market
that seems perfectly happy with cheap 4 and 5 MP cameras that produce
nice pictures at ISO 50 to 200, but generally produce crap from
ISO 400 to 800. But again, it would be a statement product that
would draw attention to the other products in the line.
Olympus
had some modest success with their E10 and E20 fixed lens SLR style
cameras, but back then their chip size was too small, resolution
was limited, and there were issues about quality at high ISOs. Imagine
taking the D70’s sensor and putting it into a Coolpix 8800 chassis,
along with some better ergonomics. Price it sensibly and get the
margin back on volume. Or take a page from the Olympus book and
produce a real SLR style camera, but with a fixed, high quality
lens with a 28-200mm zoom, and APS sized sensor.
Some
of this will sound like I want Nikon to match Canon or other companies.
Not at all, I want Nikon to surpass and blow Canon and the others
out of the water J But, just as I have no illusions about Nikon actually producing
a full frame 24 MP anytime soon, I’m under no illusions that any
of this would ever come to pass and is nothing more than a pipedream.
In
end, I have to reiterate that it’s the photographer not the camera
that counts, but having a company at the edge of the art in producing
innovative products would be great fun. But I suppose the question
that remains on the minds of many Nikon users is whether or not
Nikon is bold enough, capable enough, innovative enough, and perhaps
most importantly large and wealthy enough to do this. Remember that
Nikon is nowhere near the size of Canon that has many other facets
to its business to subsidize and/or borrow to support the photo
division.
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